There is absolutely no way Google lets Reddit go. Google Search - per Google’s own Search AI - states that Search relies heavily on Reddit through its data-licensing partnership and also to train its Gemini models. Google currently only pays Reddit $60m a year. This is an absolute STEAL. Considering that Google capex is expected to rise to $45 billion this quarter alone, coupled with the news earlier that Google has started its “most ambitious pre-training for the upcoming Gemini 4 model”, there is no way Google continues a stand-off with Reddit or risks letting them walk. The downside of playing chicken with Reddit far outweighs them just paying Reddit a higher fee to continue to use their content. I think they will easily pay Reddit $1bn a year to renew their license. That would be +50% Reddit’s 2025 TOTAL revenue.

TL;DR Google will absolutely just pay Reddit more money for AI licensing. $RDDT is wrongly punished for this when it should only be seen as bullish. NFA

GOOGL Q2 2026 (Apr - Jun 2026) Quarterly Results:

Revenue = $119.8 billion (up 24% YoY) * Ads = $81.6 billion (up 14% YoY) * Subscriptions = $12.9 billion (up 15% YoY) * Cloud = $24.8 billion (up 82% YoY) * Other Bets = $0.4 billion (up 2% YoY)

Operating Income = $40.8 billion (up 30% YoY)

Net Income = $112.1 billion (up 398% YoY) [Includes $98 billion other income (net gain)]

Earnings Per Share = $9.11 (up 394% YoY)

Gemini models: 22 billion API tokens per minute

Gemini App: 950 million active users per month

GOOGL News Updates: Apr - Jun 2026:

Added to Dow Jones Industrial Average.

HSBC partnered with Google Cloud to expand AI usage.

Increased the size of its equity capital raise to $84.75 billion to expand AI infrastructure.

Position: Long GOOGL. NFA.

During the lead up and climax of the dotcom bubble, retail investors were calling Buffet a dinosaur and saying he was "out of touch" when he refused to buy the dotcom garbage and was holding cash. Fast Forward to 2026, online investors are saying generally the same thing about him/Berkshire.

The sentiment online is literally "Buy the dip bro! Stocks only go up!"

Yet the person widely seen as 'the greatest investor ever' has amassed roughly 1% of the US GDP in cash...

It is obvious Buffet is expecting a cash by his actions not his words. He can't come out and say the market is looking like it might/will crash but it certainly seems like that is what he believes based on the fact Berkshire is holding 59% of thier investable assets in short term treasuries/cash/cash equivalents

On Tuesday Nvidia disclosed a 9.3% passive equity stake in Nebius Group, a Dutch AI cloud infrastructure company, Nebius shares were up nearly 19% while Nvidia itself ticked up almost 2%.

Nebius is one of the neocloud players, companies that buy huge amounts of Nvidia GPUs and rent out the compute to AI labs and enterprises who don't want to build their own data centers. It's like a landlord model for AI compute. CoreWeave is the most famous name in this category, Nebius is one of the fastest-growing challengers and it's been on a run this year because of long-term compute contracts with major AI labs.

The interesting thing is that Nvidia doesn't need the money and doesn't need the yield. What Nvidia gets is a guaranteed customer, every dollar Nebius raises to build out capacity is a dollar that very likely buys more Nvidia GPUs and every data center Nebius builds is more distribution for Nvidia's chips reaching AI labs that don't want to negotiate hardware deals directly with hyperscalers. This is the same playbook across the ecosystem this year, Nvidia financing GPU purchases for smaller cloud providers, OpenAI taking equity stakes from its own partners, chipmakers and labs increasingly owning pieces of their own supply and demand chains.

The timing is worth noting too, this stake disclosure comes shortly after reports that Meta poached a senior Nebius executive to help build Meta's own cloud compute selling business. Both things can be true and both are bullish like for Nebius, being worth stealing talent from and worth taking a stake in, both signal the market thinks this company matters.

Today actually matters a lot for how this whole AI story will be interpreted. Alphabet and Tesla report after the today's close and multiple outlets are already framing it as the real test of whether all this AI spending is translating into actual earnings. If Alphabet's capex guidance and Cloud numbers come in strong, this Nvidia-Nebius stake will start looking like a smart foresight. If they disappoint, every one of these ownership deals across the AI chain is going to feel maybe painful.

So does Nvidia taking equity stakes in its own customers strike as smart vertical alignment or does it add to an already a saturated AI ecosystem filling with of circular financing concerns.

The most significant AMD AI-related deals and partnerships announced recently include:

1..Anthropic (announced today)

• Anthropic will deploy up to 2 gigawatts of AMD Instinct MI450 GPUs beginning in 2027.

• AMD committed to invest up to $5 billion in Anthropic, subject to deployment milestones.

• The companies will collaborate on optimizing Claude for AMD hardware and improving AMD's ROCm AI software stack.

2.. Microsoft (announced this week)

• Microsoft is expanding its use of AMD's AI infrastructure by deploying AMD's Helios AI platform for Azure AI services.

• The partnership also includes broader deployment of AMD EPYC processors and networking technologies across Azure. Financial terms were not disclosed.

3.. OpenAI (previously announced)

• OpenAI previously announced a multi-billion-dollar agreement to purchase AMD AI chips, centered on the MI450 platform, making it one of AMD's flagship AI customers.

CGT

Ok so Alphabet beat earnings estimates and I don't know what that will mean for the stock, we'll see.

I have a different question.

What kind of a beat is EPS of 9.11 vs an estimated 2.88?!

Like who exactly estimates these numbers and how can they be so off? Does that simply mean they suck at estimating these things, they didn't do their homework and study the company well, or something else?

We always see beats or worse than estimates earnings but they are usually within an understandable range. Like estimate 3.45 and results 3.75, ok maybe even 4.50.

But what the hell is 9.11 vs 2.88? :)

This makes the estimate look like a random number thrown out there :)

Hey everyone, I’m from Germany and I’m curious what non-German investors think about SAP ahead of earnings tomorrow. The overall mood in software / AI stocks feels pretty shaky right now, kind of like what we’ve recently seen with IBM. Do you think SAP can still surprise to the upside, or is the market already pretty cautious here.

the numbers are really good but recently software has been in a rough spot

SAP is gearing up for its Q2 earnings report, expecting $2.00 in EPS and $11.4 billion in revenue. The global enterprise carbon management software market, where SAP is a key player, is projected to grow significantly, enhancing SAP's market position. ~ yahoo finance

SAP makes about 7% of DAX.

what is your take?

European Union antitrust regulators said on Wednesday they had signed off on Paramount Skydance’s proposed acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery.

The approval, which included concessions made by Paramount, came as the deal has been delayed in the U.S. due to concerns raised by state attorneys general.

A Paramount spokesperson didn’t immediately respond to comment.

In order to garner the approval, the European Commission said Paramount agreed to divest its stake in a film distribution joint venture with United International Pictures in Europe, and said it would not enter into any film distribution deal with Universal for the next 10 years in Europe.

“These commitments fully address the competition concerns identified by the Commission by ensuring that the films of the merged entity will not be distributed jointly with those Universal or Disney,” according to the EU’s release.

Tesla reported weaker-than-expected earnings for the second quarter even as revenue topped estimates. The stock slid in extended trading on Wednesday.

Here’s how the company did compared to Wall Street expectations, according to estimates from analysts polled by LSEG

• Earnings per share: 33 cents adjusted vs. 51 cents expected
• Revenue: $28.24 billion vs. $25.71 billion expected

Tesla’s earnings report lands in the midst of a steep decline in its stock price, which is down about 11% this month and 17% for the year. That slide has coincided with a drop in SpaceX, Elon Musk’s other trillion-dollar company, which held a record market debut in June and has lost more than 40% of its value since its peak close.

Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/22/tesla-tsla-q2-2026-earnings-report.html

SK Hynix is officially denying market speculation that it will acquire Intel’s semiconductor production facilities in Ohio, United States.

Through a clarification disclosure on July 22, SK Hynix stated that it has neither pursued nor decided on the acquisition of Intel’s Ohio site and fab. Previously, some media outlets reported that SK Hynix was in negotiations with Intel to acquire the Ohio campus with the goal of producing memory semiconductors locally in the United States within five years.

The background to this acquisition rumor lies in Intel’s deteriorating performance and the adjustment of its investment plans. Intel is constructing two large-scale semiconductor plants in New Albany, Ohio, but has recently delayed the operational schedule from its original plan due to management difficulties. Intel has established a policy to complete the construction of the first fab in 2030 and begin operations around 2031.

SK Hynix added a principled position that it continuously reviews various investment and acquisition opportunities for business purposes. This is interpreted as an intention to maintain strategic options to respond to the rapidly changing semiconductor market environment, while denying the acquisition of a specific fab.

Currently, the production investment SK Hynix is officially pursuing in the United States is an advanced packaging plant in Indiana. The company is investing approximately $3.87 billion in West Lafayette to build High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) back-end processing and research and development (R&D) facilities. This facility is characterized as a back-end processing hub that stacks and connects produced chips, rather than a front-end processing facility that engraves circuits onto wafers.

The industry anticipates that if SK Hynix establishes even a front-end processing fab locally in the United States, it will entail a massive cost burden and operational risks. A semiconductor industry official explained, “Directly operating a front-end processing fab in a situation where manufacturing costs in the United States are high is a matter that requires close review in terms of profitability.”

Market experts forecast that SK Hynix will focus its capabilities on completing and operating the Indiana packaging facility for the time being. This is because securing back-end processing technological competitiveness is an urgent priority in a situation where HBM demand is surging due to the expansion of the artificial intelligence (AI) market.

However, if the scale of subsidies under the United States government’s CHIPS Act and demands for local production intensify, the possibility of reconsidering the acquisition of front-end processing facilities in the long term cannot be ruled out. SK Hynix plans to closely monitor market conditions and operate its investment strategy in a direction that can maximize corporate value.

https://www.businesskorea.co.kr/news/articleView.html?idxno=273424

I'm extremely bullish on nintendo. I have about 1500 shares at $12.70, so my money is where my mouth is.

I'm going to write a relatively detailed reasoning just because I couldn't find a strong opinion on google.

Nintendo is trading at such a low multiple - they are expanding (successfully) into a multi-media empire with movies, theme parks, video games, and merchandise. They own the 1st and 6th highest revenue IP's in history (Pokemon #1, Mario #6). Pokemon's ownership is only slightly complicated - nintendo co-owns the "Pokemon company" alongside game freak and creatures inc. Only nintendo will ever have pokemon, barring a change in the entire world. They also own 5 of the 20 best selling video game franchises of all time. (Mario, Pokemon, Wii (sports, etc), Zelda, nintendogs).

I doubt I need to go into how successful the poke park and universal theme parks have been - enormous cash cows. Nintendo is only thickening their war chest. (I hardly need to mention how huge the mario movies have been).

So what's the biggest reason nintendo has been struggling stock-wise? 2 reasons, actually. First, software bottleneck. Nintendo hasn't released games or news on games at nearly their usual cadence, and the games they're revealing are much lower prestige than mainline mario, zelda, pokemon, etc. - So what are the outcomes on that issue?

Either A) Nintendo starts releasing games????

or

B) Nintendo decides to roll over and go out of business for no reason???

So that's issue 1 solved - games are obviously coming. What's issue 2? Hardware/memory costs.

Guess what happens when memory chip prices totally bottom out? Nintendo gets a higher profit margin on their hardware, and they can still leave the console prices at new increased levels. New games drop, hardware cheaper to make... people buy everything.

Memory chips go down, nintendo margins go up, that crushes analysts expectations, boom.

I guess what is still missing here is my price target goalposts. I'll make it simple, I won't call an absolute top or bottom - but here's what I'm waiting to see; We're at a 3 year low (were exactly there 2 weeks ago), less than a year from all time highs, more profitable initiatives than in their history. There's still so much more I could say about the Pokemon anime, manga licensing, animated movies...

I'm expecting above 20 by the end of this holiday season. I'm expecting 30 by Q2 next year, I'm expecting 40 by EoY 2027, or Q1 2028.

Bottom line question is simple. Is nintendo going out of business, or are they going to expand in 20 directions?

Edit -=- It's in the mid 10's (like 10.60) today, an unbelievable price. Also, I'm not a financial advisor, so my expectations & conclusions should not be considered financial advice.

How is this not bigger news?

A Nikkei Asia investigation estimates that Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, Meta and Oracle have around $1.65 trillion in offbalance-sheet obligations tied largely to the AI infrastructure boom, more than their reported balance-sheet debt.

I can't find many major outlets covering this yet. Is the study being overlooked, or is the headline more sensational than the actual accounting?

Been digging into the Korea situation and honestly, the whole thing is kind of wild once you look past the P/E ratios.

SK Hynix at 5x forward earnings looks like a deal, and maybe it is. But this selloff isn't really a fundamentals story. It's a leverage blow-up, and the Korean government basically spent the last six years pouring gas on the fire.

Back in 2020, when covid hit and foreigners dumped Korean stocks, local retail traders jumped in. But then the government started calling them patriotic heroes. They banned short selling, made margin easier to get, lowered taxes. The whole vibe was "don't worry, we got you, just keep buying." And people did.

Fast forward a few years and they're still at it. Tax breaks for pulling money out of foreign stocks and dumping it into Samsung and SK Hynix. The national pension fund loaded up on these two names until it was way over its own limits, and instead of selling, they just rewrote the limits.

Then in May this year, someone had the bright idea to launch leveraged ETFs on Samsung and SK Hynix. The pitch was basically "let's make Korean stocks more exciting so people stop buying US tech and crypto." More than 90% of the buyers were retail. Now those ETFs have to sell every time the market drops, which makes the market drop more, and it forces more selling.

https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/article/supermicro-stock-jumps-on-gross-margin-raise-amid-record-60-billion-backlog-223037795.html

so is smci the next “ai picks and shovels” stock to get pumped up 40x?

it’s up 18% after hours because the company reported improving margins and (wait for it) a "massive $60b backlog".

this is a company with a long list of accounting and governance issues. to me, the fact that the market is willing to immediately look past all of that is another sign that we are in a serious ai bubble driven by speculation.

who is actually buying this thing after hours? surely serious institutional investors aren’t buying this stock, ... right?

Tesla already released its operational numbers: 480,126 vehicles delivered, a record, up 25% year over year, production at 451,758. Full financials drop tonight after market close.

Tesla itself says deliveries alone don't tell you much about profit, average selling price, costs, and FX still matter.

Here's what's actually worth watching once the numbers are out:

1. Automotive economics. A delivery increase can still coexist with margin pressure. Watch gross margin, regulatory credits, pricing, and cost per vehicle, not just the growth headline.
2. Did growth convert into cash? Free cash flow can swing hard quarter to quarter from inventory and capex timing. One print isn't the whole story.
3. How much of the AI spend is productive now versus still a bet on the future? Compare capex growth against actual milestones, not the narrative around it.
4. What's the real evidence on robotaxi and autonomy? Deployment, safety data, and paid usage are stronger signals than demo videos. A pilot and a scalable network are very different stages.
5. Is Optimus becoming an actual business, or still pure optionality? Track production, reliability, and unit cost rather than folding it into the core business without a real discount.

What's the one number you're actually watching for tonight?

The aggressive investment products are tailored to pay out twice the profits of a single stock but also twice the losses, and have been criticised for exposing retail investors to market hype and volatility.

Since the new ETFs were listed on May 27, the stocks of Samsung and SK hynix have fallen around 16 percent and 20 percent each, leaving speculators with highly amplified losses.

At a Tuesday cabinet meeting President Lee Jae Myung told head of the Financial Services Commission to "take the necessary measures quickly and aggressively".

In a livestream of the summit he did not explain what measures he endorsed -- saying there were "two competing views" over the ETFs tied to national flagship tech firms.

"Supporters argue that the products have helped reduce capital outflows by giving South Korean investors domestic alternatives to overseas single-stock leveraged ETFs," he added.

"Critics, however, contend that they have increased market volatility by encouraging speculative trading," he said.

Lee Chan-jin, governor of South Korea's Financial Supervisory Service, already last month admitted regulators had greenlit the ETFs too hastily.

"Maybe I should have lain down on the floor to block it. I personally regret it," he said.

The government last week tightened rules governing the products -- raising the minimum deposit to 30 million won ($20,280) and requiring investors to fund purchases fully in cash.

A South Korean NGO, Economic Democracy 21, said the government failed to protect individual investors when introducing the leveraged ETFs.

Regulators should have been careful given such products are "inherently high-risk because the compounding effect can wipe out an investor's entire principal over a short period," it said in a statement.

A single-stock leveraged fund, it added, "fundamentally conflicts with diversification requirements imposed on conventional public funds, making that ETF structure unacceptable".

The KOSPI has surged this year, buoyed by sharp gains in Samsung Electronics and SK hynix.

The index has risen 58 percent so far this year but the rally has also been marked by heightened volatility.

After reaching a record high of 9,385 on June 19, the KOSPI had fallen 28 percent as of Tuesday morning.

https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20260721-south-korea-president-urges-regulator-action-on-leveraged-stock-funds

https://finviz.com/stock?t=CHTR&ty=c&ta=0&p=d

I was digging into Charter Communications (CHTR) and something caught my attention.

The stock performance has been… rough:

• 1Y: −67.8%
• 3Y: −67.6%
• 5Y: −82.3%

At the same time, CEO Chris Winfrey’s compensation structure remains very generous:

• New contract (Dec 2025):
  • Base salary: $2.5M minimum
  • Target bonus: 300% of base
• 2024 total pay: ~$5.75M
• 2023 total pay: ~$89M (driven by large equity awards)

Now yes ... a big part of this is stock-based, so in theory it's aligned with shareholders. And to be fair, a lot of that equity has lost value with the stock decline.

But here’s what I’m struggling with:

Even in a prolonged downtrend where shareholders have been heavily impacted, the compensation structure still produces multi-million payouts and large grants.

Is this actually good alignment with shareholders (because equity value fell)?

In the start of this year came the fiercest bidding war between Paramount Skydance and Netflix for the acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, which Paramount won in February with a $110 billion deal. Before the the deal was announced WBD was at around $10 a share but as the deal was announced it has been above and near $25 ever since, roughly a two and half times with essentially the entire price built on one assumption that the deal will close.

On Monday, a federal judge in California granted a temporary restraining order potentially stalling the whole thing. Twelve state attorneys general, led by California on July 13th sued arguing the merger would stifle competition in Hollywood because two movie studios, two streaming platforms (HBO Max and Paramount+) and two news organizations (CNN and CBS News) all will come under one person or one company. The restraining order lasts 14 days, with a hearing set for August 3

One interesting thing to note is that the federal government had already approved this merger. The DOJ closed its antitrust review last week concluding that the deal was not likely to harm competition and might even strengthen it. The states sued anyway, they have independent authority under antitrust law. So now, this isn't companies versus regulators anymore. It's states versus a federal clearance.

WBD fell just 1.7% Monday, Paramount 1.1%. The market is treating this as a temporary two-week speed bump. If the August 3 hearing goes the states' way, this deal enters limbo, potentially for a year or more, with hundreds of millions in costs piling up and every month raising the odds someone walks away.

One major thing to note, during the bidding war, when Paramount was trying to outbid Netflix, it sweetened its offer with a clause that if the deal isn't closed by September 30 2026, Paramount must pay WBD shareholders an extra 25 cents per share every quarter until it closes. That's roughly $650 million per quarter, about $6.9 million per day, coming out of Paramount's pocket and into WBD holders' hands just for waiting. The states' attorney pointed out that the merger agreement itself allows closing as late as June 2027 if there's an ongoing legal challenge, meaning Paramount contractually accepted this exact risk. And top of that all sits a reported $7 billion breakup fee if the deal ultimately dies on regulatory grounds.

If the merger stalls into 2027, WBD holders aren't waiting on a payout, they're holding a declining legacy media business at a price built for an acquisition that might not happen. This is also the first mega-deal of the record $2.8 trillion M&A year to hit a real legal wall, with PayPal/Stripe (unconfirmed), Uber/Delivery Hero, and Rocket Lab/Iridium all still pending.

So, who does a long delay actually affect more. For Paramount, every quarter past September costs them $650 million in delay fees, the estimated $6 billion in annual merger synergies gets delayed, EU approval is still pending on top of the US. WBD shareholders, weirdly, get paid to wait, that 25 cents a quarter is a consolation prize that starts accruing in October. But if the deal doesn't just delay but dies, then Paramount walks away with some (maybe huge) losses with the delay fees and the legal costs and $7 billion in breakup fee, but still standing with its money and its business. WBD holders would be left holding a stock priced near $30 for a deal that no longer exists, on a business that the market valued under $10 before the bidding war began.

Also, to think is that if a deal which was cleared by DOJ can still be stopped or delayed leaglly, so does this change the maths on the other pending big upcoming deals PayPal-Stripe (still unconfirmed), Uber-Delivery Hero, Redwire-Iridium.

Korea’s exports rose 52.3 percent from a year earlier in the first 20 days of July as overseas shipments of semiconductors nearly tripled due to the ongoing AI boom, customs data showed on Tuesday.

Outbound shipments reached $54.9 billion from July 1 to Monday compared to the $36 billion tallied in the same period last year, according to data from the Korea Customs Service.

Imports went up 20 percent on year to $42.7 billion over the cited period, resulting in a trade surplus of $12.2 billion.

By sector, exports of semiconductors continued to lead overall gains by jumping 180 percent to $22.1 billion.

Outbound shipments of petroleum products moved up 33.4 percent to $3.41 billion, while exports of automobiles fell 10.6 percent to $3.24 billion.

Exports of steel products and ships rose 11.1 percent and 70.8 percent, respectively, to $2.64 billion and $2.44 billion.

By destination, exports to China nearly doubled to $13.3 billion, and those to the United States rose 39.6 percent to $8.96 billion.

Cumulative exports this year through Monday came to $551.2 billion, up 48.7 percent from a year earlier.

https://www.koreajoongangdaily.com/business/exports-rise-52-in-first-20-days-of-july-as-overseas-semiconductor-shipments-nearly-triple/12783209

https://arstechnica.com/space/2026/07/the-space-force-is-now-seeking-to-buy-up-to-30-billion-in-rocket-launches/

"More money for more launches

There are more launch companies qualified for Lane 1 contracts. Space Systems Command originally selected SpaceX, ULA, and Blue Origin for Lane 1 in the Phase 3 round of the NSSL program in 2024. Rocket Lab, Stoke Space, and most recently, Relativity Space and Impulse Space were added to the roster of companies competing to launch Lane 1 missions. The Space Force issues a request for bids on a number of Lane 1 missions each year, and then doles out individual fixed-price “task orders” to the winners. SpaceX has won the lion’s share of Lane 1 task orders to date, and Blue Origin won its first earlier this year."

Looking for some advice because I’m honestly too emotionally invested to think clearly.

About a month or two ago my portfolio was around $11k. Now it’s worth about $7k, so I’m down a little over $4k.

My biggest position is LUNR. I put about $6,500 into it at an average of $22, so it’s by far my largest holding. I also own some RKLB and a few other stocks.

I don’t need the money anytime soon and my plan has always been to invest for at least 5 years, but seeing this kind of drawdown has definitely messed with my head.

Part of me keeps thinking that if LUNR can eventually get to around $26, my whole portfolio would basically be back to break-even. I don’t know if that’s a reasonable way to look at it or if I’m just anchoring to a number because I’m down so much.

If you were in my shoes, would you just hold and stop looking at it? Keep averaging down? Or accept that the position got too big and start diversifying?

I’m not looking for people to tell me everything will be fine. I’d rather hear honest opinions, even if you think I screwed up.

EDIT: Just to clarify, this isn’t my entire portfolio. It’s just my space, aerospace, defense, and related technology portfolio, so it’s intentionally concentrated.

This is the daily discussion, so anything stocks related is fine, but the theme for today is on technical analysis (TA), but if TA is not your thing then just ignore the theme.

Some helpful day to day links, including news:

• Finviz for charts, fundamentals, and aggregated news on individual stocks
• Bloomberg market news
• StreetInsider news:
  • Market Check - Possibly why the market is doing what it's doing including sudden spikes/dips
  • Reuters aggregated - Global news

Technical analysis (TA) uses historical price movements, real time data, indicators based on math and/or statistics, and charts; all of which help measure the trajectory of a security. TA can also be used to interpret the actions of other market participants and predict their actions.

The main benefit to TA is that everything shows up in the price (commonly known as "priced in"): All news, investor sentiment, and changes to fundamentals are reflected in a security's price.

TA can be useful on any timeframe, both short and long term.

Intro to technical analysis by Stockcharts chartschool and their article on candlesticks

If you have questions, please see the following word cloud and click through for the wiki:

Indicator - Trade Signals - Lagging Indicator - Leading Indicator - Oversold - Overbought - Divergence - Whipsaw - Resistance - Support - Breakout/Breakdown - Alerts - Trend line - Market Participants - Moving average - RSI - VWAP - MACD - ATR - Bollinger Bands - Ichimoku clouds - Methods - Trend Following - Fading - Channels - Patterns - Pivots

See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

Earlier this month i made a post where I basically questioned the price of oil with this ongoing war in iran. I questioned why the price of oil did not go up drastically and made some predictions as to what i think might happen with the war. Well this week i have my answer to the oil questions Multiple countries including japan and america opened their oil reserve flooding the market to make up for the loss in oil flow. This helped to cushion the blow of the oil glut but didnt totally replace the missing millions of barrels needed to keep prices low. Which is why we still saw increases in oil prices all around the word and oil shortages. Additionally, china decided for some reason to completely halt any additional purchases of oil which reduced the oil demand drastically allowing for price stability and even oil price decreases. Now with the war escalating and the houthis looking to close off the other side of the strait which saudi arabia has been using to circumvent the damage of hormuz. This will likely skyrocket the price with or without chinas need to purchase oil. It is said that china potentially has enough oil to last them a year and are even switching to importing coal as another power source. But they could also use the oil demand that they are neglecting to basically manipulate oil prices. If they start putting in bids to buy oil that demand alone could skyrocket global oil prices. Its just a theory but i can forsee elevated oil prices for the next year depending on how long this war rages on. I'm waiting to see just how this oil glut boost revenues for oil stocks in the near future.

Update: As of 07/23/2026 my biggest oil position is up $1,202 dollars in one day.