r/leanfire • u/cowgod180 • 20h ago
No job since 2021. $280k in Treasuries. Trailer in Birmingham. LeanFIRE or merely unemployed with duration risk?
I have not worked since 2021. The Film Curation economy made a strategic decision to proceed without me. After several years, I have accepted that I may never again participate in the formal labor market.
Current situation:
$280,000 invested, essentially all in 10-year U.S. Treasuries purchased during the rate peaks.
Trailer in Birmingham is paid off. I rent the dirt underneath it.
No debt.
No dependents.
No earned income.
At a 5.0% yield:
Annual Treasury interest: $14,000
Monthly average: $1,166.67
The payments do not literally arrive monthly. I keep enough in checking to smooth the semiannual coupons. I am aware that coupon rate, purchase yield and taxable interest are not necessarily identical. I have an economics degree, among several other degrees that have failed to produce employment.
Monthly budget
Lot rent: $375
Trailer insurance, taxes and repair reserve: $100
Electricity: $110
Water and trash: $35
Internet: $45
Phone: $15
Food and household supplies: $180
Car insurance, gasoline, registration and repairs: $100
ACA premium: $28
Medical and dental reserve: $40
Games: $20
Clothing and miscellaneous: $25
Total: $1,073
Monthly surplus: $93.67
Annual surplus: $1,124
Annual spending is $12,876, or about 4.6% of the portfolio. The principal remains nominally intact because spending is below the interest, although inflation is quietly converting the trailer into a smaller trailer in real terms.
The gaming budget is $240 per year. The State of Gaming is grim, but Silksong is presently $13.99 on sale. A Reprieve. This still leaves $226.01 for other software, although there is no obvious reason to buy it. Huge Teams spent eight years making most of it worse than games I already own for the Sega 32X.
Taxes are unusually favorable. U.S. Treasury interest is exempt from Alabama income tax. The 2026 federal standard deduction for a single filer is $16,100, above the projected income.
Health insurance is the real problem. Alabama did not expand Medicaid, and $14,000 is below the $15,650 income floor used for 2026 Marketplace subsidies. I therefore create enough additional MAGI through a small Roth conversion or realized gain to target approximately $16,000. At that income, the benchmark-plan contribution is 2.1%, or about $28 per month. Without this step, the plan is not LeanFIRE. It is simply being uninsured in a trailer.
Known risks:
Lot rent increases.
A trailer repair larger than the reserve.
A car failure (Prius)
Medical expenses above the reserve.
Inflation destroying the real value of the $280,000.
Reinvestment risk when the notes mature.
The possibility that society eventually produces a game costing more than $20 that I am compelled to purchase.
This is not a claim that $280,000 provides an affluent or permanently risk-free retirement. It provides approximately $14,000 of nominal income, a trailer, electricity, internet, food and limited access to declining Western entertainment. I have lived this way for years. The portfolio has not collapsed. Employment has not returned.
Is this LeanFIRE, a ten-year Treasury sabbatical, or just unemployment with asset allocation?