Been tracking net worth since 2019:
$270K → $1.3M.
Set-and-forget index investor. Held through March 2020 (-17% quarter) and the 2022 drawdown without selling anything.
Cash went from 41% of NW in 2019 to 5% today as I deployed it into markets.
Current allocation (INCLUDING rental equity, EXCLUDING PRIMARY home and things)
Current Asset Allocation
Stock — 83%
Real estate — 11%
Cash — 5%
Crypto — 0%
Estimated US vs. international split
US stock — $992,000 (89-90%)
International stock — $87,000 (8-9%)
Bonds are another 1-2%
Accounts
Retirement (401k/IRA) — $757K
Taxable brokerage — $290K (see constraint below)
HYSA — $68K
HSA — $20k
Current Contributions and Savings, ~$47K/yr (~20% SR)
Two Roth IRAs, maxed
Spouse’s 401k at 10%
Solo 401k — small right now, big unused capacity
HSA, maxed
Plus $500/mo extra principal on a 6% mortgage
8k annually in 529s (not included in any of my NW)
My Situation
Almost 39, two kids in daycare — expensive years
Targeting the ability to retire around 59-60
No bonds by choice — real estate and a healthy HYSA as ballast
The Question
I’m heavily overweight US. Counting the rental (which is also US exposure), I’m \\\~90% US across stocks and real estate, with 8% international. Global market cap is roughly 60/40 US/international.
I want to get to at least 80/20 on the stock side, possibly closer to market weight. Two paths:
Option 1 — Rebalance now inside retirement accounts. No tax event, a few clicks in a 401k. Gets me to \\\~79/19 immediately.
Option 2 — Shift new contributions instead. Feels safer, but $47K/yr against $1.05M invested barely moves the needle. Contributing at 90/10 changes nothing since that’s roughly where I already am. Real progress would mean going near-100% international in all new money, which feels rash.
Where I’m stuck: I’m a set-and-forget person and selling feels wrong even when the math says it’s free. But contributions alone won’t get me there in any reasonable timeframe.
Additional Questions
- Am I overthinking the selling part when it’s tax-free inside a 401k?
- For those who moved toward market-cap weight — all at once, or leg in over 6-12 months?
- Does the rental equity change how you’d think about the international target, given it’s more US exposure?
- Is 20% international enough, or should I be targeting 30-40%?
- Bonds… should I look at these given other assets (REI and cash).
Worth noting this constraint…
~ 25% of my US stock is VGT sitting entirely in taxable with large embedded gains from 2020-2022. Selling triggers 20-30% on the gain, so it stays put regardless. Any rebalancing has to happen in the retirement accounts. I desire to hold this until later and this will bridge 50-60 or help w liquid for another big move (pay off house early, purchase anther rental, whatever. It’s there).