I just wrote this in a recent daily discussion with one of our top posting Giants fans on here, but I decided ti share it with everyone to see what people think about quirks in he schedule..
Do these quirks matter??
IMO, there is one thing that is solidly in the Giants favor is the schedule layout.
We can argue about players and rookies and coaches, but the schedule is the schedule. That does not change.
We had to play the teams on this schedule, but do you believe the layout and order matters???
I think it does (but I am unsure how much).
...I also believe the Giant could not have a better layout. I analyzed it and there are plenty of quirks that go in the Giants favor, and very few, if any go against them.
Here is a quick schedule analysis:
Week 1 vs Dallas. Big home game primetime. No schedule quirk but Giants should be extra motivated to get Harbs a win week 1. This is the Giants biggest game of the year. This is not Dallas's biggest game.
Verdict: no schedule quirk advantage, but Giants have an incentive advantage
Week 2 @LAR: Rams played week 1 overseas vs SF. How much does international travel matter? Potential chance to catch them unfocused?
Verdict: prob a loss regrlardless, but slight schedule quirk in NYs favor.
Week 3, 4, 5, 6: Ten, Was, Ari, NO. Three of those games are home. Can a team ask for a better stretch early on?
Verdict: The NFL did NY Giants a solid there. Very likely they are 3-3 after 6 games. They should build confidence and momentum, which we know is a huge deal. Now back to hard games:
Week 7 @Hou: Houston just played overseas vs division rival Jacksonville.
Verdict: Probable loss, the scheduke quirk helps, but this has upset potential. (I don't think Houston's shaky O-line or Stroud wants anything to do with Burns and Carter).
Week 8: bye 🏖
Week 9: @ Phi: Look at Philly's schedule for the prior 6 weeks: @Chi, LAR, JAX, CAR, DAL, @WAS. That team has to run a gauntlet of good teams early on. They also will be looking forward to a bye directly after the Giants game.
Verdict: Big schedule advantage. A bunch of hard games prior, and then a bye afterwards that the players will be looking forward to. It is very possible Philly does not come out with the energy needed to win that game.
Week 10: vs Was. That should be a win. Was also just finished playing vs Eagles & Rams.
Verdict: probably no hidden schedule advantage, just a basic home game that the Giants should be favored in.
Week 11: vs Jax. While we have back to back home games, Jax is playing their THIRD ROAD GAME in a row!
Verdict: Clear scheduling advantage to NY.
Week 12: @Indy: Well, Indy just played @Hou, and then they have a bye right after us. Could they be limping into their bye week unfocused again?
Verdict: Minimal schedule quirk in NYs favor, but nothing major. Indy could be looking forward to their bye, but this quirk might be enough to cancel out home field advantage at best.
Week 13 vs SF: The 49ers played the Seahawks the prior week, and the Rams right after us. Classic trap game scenario!
Verdict: How important is a trap game? If they are important, this definitely counts.
Week 14 @Seattle: Probably a loss, but we catch Seattle on a short week, they play the prior Monday night vs Dallas. We also get them mid gauntlet of tough opponents. Seattle goes @SF, Dal, NYG, @Phi, LAR.
Verdict: See week 13. Maybe Seattle overlooks NY.... But I doubt it is enough to make a difference.
Week 15: vs Cle (this is our trap game haha).
Verdict: something tells me that if these little quirky things matter, this one might screw us up. The bigger story is Harbaugh vs Monken. This game might be close because of that. Def not putting this in the win column ahead of time. Advantage Cleveland when it comes to weird quirky intangible stuff, but Giants should still win.
Week 16 @Det: We are sandwiched in betwen Detriot playing their NFCN rivals. @Min, NYG, @Chi, @GB.
Verdict: The scheduling intangibles once again work in NYs favor with a classic trap game scenario. Giamts probably lose, but it heightens the chance of an upset.
Week 17 @Dallas: No potential schedule quirk here, but it is now week 17, if this late in the season game have any meaning, the season was already a success.
Week 18: Phi no schedule quirk, but it doesn't matter at this point. If the Giants are playing a meaningful game week 18, we all will be happy.
So two big points:
Giants have a 4 week easy stretch to build momentum.
Then from weeks 7 through 16, every matchup other than home vs Cle and Home vs Wash has a decent scheduling quirk in their favor.
... so can the Giants steal a few games from unfocused or tired teams??