Hi.
So I'm (M19) an ex-Orthodox Jew, living in Israel.
For the last few months I've been doubting my faith, and I've reached the conclusion that I don't think I believe in Judaism anymore. I haven't been praying or keeping Shabbat, but I have been putting Tefilin but not really much.
I've been making lots of progress, but the problem is that every time I debate one of my friends (they don't know I'm going OTD, only that I have questions) they keep giving me weak claims and excuses, some of them I've already thought before, but it's making me really anxious and worried that I might have made a crucial mistake in my judgement on the matter. Even if their arguments aren't really that powerful.
For example:
A friend told you have to be an idiot to see the prophecies of the bible getting fulfilled and not believe in Judaism.
I said, okay, you only have 3 prophecies that have been fulfilled:
The Jews would survive in the diaspora and not assimilate.
The Jews would return to their homeland.
The land would be barren and desolate until their return, during which it would bloom.
The first 2 are effectively the same one, since they can't return to their land if they die, but anyway, it's hard for me to imagine a way for the Jews to not have endured. After 500 years in Babylonia, seeing what had happened to the other 10 tribes, and needing to remain in contact with the land of Israel, I don't see how they would not develop the modern Rabbinic system, and make themselves more resilient and less reliant on the temple but rather on synagogues and the portable Halakha (both Talmuds and the like).
Other than the 3rd one, both are also self-fulfilling prophecies, since if you command everyone to want to build a temple, ingrain in their collective mind the necessity of them returning to their homeland so much that even lots of secular Jews have heard this from their parents, would it be surprising if they'd returned?
And the 3rd argument is only true, if we say that the Byzantine Empire didn't get the memo, and decided to settle there for 3 centuries, during which the region had reached a peak population of over 1 million people, which would not be surpassed until the 20th century under British rule, and they also managed to grow crops, cultivate vineyards, export produce to all over the empire, etc.. If you want to say the promise to the Jews was not broken, you would have to explain it unlike traditional Mefarshim like the Rashbam or Rabeinu Bahya, which would mean you have to change your interpretation, meaning unless nothing extremely specific that would leave you no escape hatch would have happened, you would not concede on any of your prophecies or promises by God, so they are not falsifiable and therefore not great proofs.
Despite this though, I'm still left with this gnawing fear that he might be right and I might not be looking at this objectively.
Do other people also feel like that? Did you feel like that once and now you don't? If so, what helped you get through this, or what can I do?
Thanks.