Week-to-Week Drops

Hope: The movie crossed 2.5 million admits and $19 million, but it is certainly going to miss that 10 million admit breakeven point by a very large margin.

Minions and Monsters: A decent day, as the movie got north of $3 million. The bad news is that its chance of hitting 1 million admits is fading really fast. Being barely above Moana and Toy Story 5 is a bad sign for its legs.

Moana: An excellent Wednesday, as it was one of only three movies on the chart to increase from last week. The movie crossed 800k admits and will rock past $6 million tomorrow.

The Eyes: The movie dropped from last Wednesday and is still on track to miss breakeven.

Toy Story 5: Toy Story 5 had a very nice day, and the recovery should stay on track with an incredibly small drop tomorrow from last Thursday. 2.8 million admits and $20 million are coming this weekend.

Hive/Colony: A nice bounce-back day, as the film was starting to look dead.

Presales

Spider-Man: Brand New Day: Comps increased against Demon Slayer again. When I get home tomorrow, we are tossing Zootopia 2 and Wicked 2 for superhero comps.

Odyssey: Presales increased by 6k, so they are now sitting at 84,615 tickets.

​

Source:

https://numero.co/reports/2026/07/23/the-odyssey-takes-top-spot-in-new-zealand

Toy Story 5 rounds out the top three with $601K, lifting its cumulative box office total to $5.63M.

Source:

https://numero.co/reports/2026/07/23/the-odyssey-leads-australian-box-office

Toy Story 5 rounds out the top three with $3.47M, lifting its cumulative box office total to $43M

pace has declined since my last look in a week or so ago. Napkin math - mapping the current gap in weekly sales to remaining box office grosses, AIR gets 49.96M, Jesus Revolution gets $50.56M, and the adjusted upwards Reagan dynamic gets you $48.78M. Obviously Washington is falling steeper than the other two films and has the looming threat of Spider-Man creating a real theatrical crunch (though scaling Reagan upwards creates a slight positive bias).

If nothing changed I think you'd assume it to end a hair below $50M right now; however, given that $50M is a nice round number that might be relevant to licensing, it will be interesting to see if there's any additional juice to be squeezed.

$400M domestic locked at this point, $450M+ in play, meaning it could finish above TDKR despite opening below.

You can track the comparison here on Box Office Watch

Average Gross of the Top 10: $421,689,301
Average IMDb Rating of the Top 10: 7.0/10
Average Letterboxd Rating of the Top 10: 3.4/5

Elemental (2023) is the highest grossing original movie of the 2020s so far, unless you count F1 (2025) as an original movie.

Daily Box Office (July 22nd 2026)

The market hits ¥128.1M/$18.97M today. Down -9% from yesterday and down -13% from last week.

Province map of the day:

https://imgdiff.net/s/98ec0cb73ec70e97088dcb67141e1f5f

All Wishes Come True gains 1 province.

In Metropolitan cities:

Kung Fu Womens Soccer wins Hangzhou, Guangzhou, Chengdu, Shenzhen, Hangzhou, Wuhan and Suzhou

All Wishes Come True Beijing, Shanghai, Chongqing and Nanjing

City tiers:

Unchanged from yesterday.

Tier 1: Kung Fu Womens Soccer>All Wishes Come True>A Part of Me

Tier 2: Kung Fu Womens Soccer>All Wishes Come True>A Part of Me

Tier 3: Kung Fu Womens Soccer>All Wishes Come True>A Part of Me

Tier 4: Kung Fu Womens Soccer>All Wishes Come True>A Part of Me

New releases marked in bold

Pre-Sales map for tomorrow

https://i.imgur.com/Pcauulj.png

All Wishes Come True dominates pre-sales for Thursday.

IMAX Screenings distribution

All Wishes Come True will continue to dominate IMAX screenings tomorrow.

Kung Fu Womens Soccer

Kung Fu Womens Soccer grossed another ¥59.9M/$8.86M on Wednnesday. For now comfortably in the lead but its being hunted.

Tomorrow it will cross ¥1.7B/$250M

Early 3rd weekend projections lowered to ¥261-310M/$38-42M(-46%)

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $234.17M, IMAX: $7.69M, Rest: $3.69M

WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.4 , Taopiaopiao: , Douban: 6.5

Scheduled showings update for Kung Fu Womens Soccer for the next few days:

All Wishes Come True

All Wishes Come True grossed another strong ¥44.4/$6.56M on Wednesday. Sustaining a pretty consistent gross.

Early 2nd weekend projections raised to ¥317-328M/$46-49M. Would be enough to win the weekend.

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $53.74M , IMAX: $4.45M, Rest: $1.07M

WoM figures:

Scores hold on all sites.

Maoyan: 9.7 , Taopiaopiao: 9.6 , Douban: 8.3

Scheduled showings update for All Wishes Come True for the next few days:

Other:

Spider Man: Brand New Day Maoyan WTS:

A comparison of Spider Man's current Maoyan WTS versus some other post Covid blockbusters it has yet to pass in the metric.

The Pre-sales continue to blunt Spider Mans growth. This is not a concern though as the metric pretty much becomes mostly irelevant now that tickets are on sale.

However i'l keep the chart around just too see where it eventualy ends up.

https://i.imgur.com/ArJ8OIH.png

Opening Day Pre-Sales:

Spider Man has opening day pre-sales hit ¥13.48M/$1.99M.

3rd day of very good growth in a row.

Midnight screenings sit at ¥4.89M/$722k while full weekend pre-sales hit ¥23.9M/$3.53M

https://i.imgur.com/mcKe6Di.png

*Gross/Screenings

Obsession Opening Day Pre-Sales:

Obsession opening day pre-sales hit $239k. Continues to run ahead of Backrooms.

Projected a $1.9-2.0M opening day into a $2.1-2.3M Saturday.

Release Schedule:

A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.

Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.

Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.

Summer

• In New York and Los Angeles, there are no Imax 70mm tickets available through Aug. 19, a sign of the frenzy to see Christopher Nolan‘s epic in the premium large format. And in London, Imax 70mm screenings are sold out through Sept. 10, nearly two months after the film’s release.
• More screenings in Imax 70mm will be added to keep up with the intense demand. But the question is: how long can “The Odyssey” hold onto those coveted screens, which only exist in 25 theaters in the U.S. and 41 globally?
• The next Imax releases include the Aug. 14 sci-fi survival flick “The End of Oak Street” (which also stars Anne Hathaway) and Zach Cregger’s take on “Resident Evil,” which comes out Sept. 18. While those titles, each filmed for Imax, will premiere in the premium format, that doesn’t mean “The Odyssey” will have to vacate Imax screens entirely.
• An Imax spokesperson tells Variety the company’s next Imax 70mm commitment is to “Dune: Part Three.” That means it is not contractually obligated to give up those screens until the Denis Villeneuve film premieres in December. That said, the spokesperson indicated it is highly unlikely “The Odyssey” will play in Imax 70mm through that month, adding that it will likely return in the format multiple times until the end of the year.
• Theaters have struggled to meet the demand for Imax screens, adding 2 a.m. and 6 a.m. showings, for instance. Fans have traveled across state lines to see the film in Imax 70mm, with tickets being upsold by scalpers.

Source: Variety.

I’m going to go 8-9 days on the low end since I don’t think it’ll be as strong internationally as Infinity War but it’ll definitely be higher Domestically

"I want to be cautious here, but how things are going, with normal CBM walkups I am thinking $55M previews as baseline and if it has above average walkups, we may have a new previews record holder by a good amount. OW $250M++ (emphasis on the ++)"

On Doomsday:

"With Doomsday out of the way (sorta, it had an impressive Day 2 considering how capacity constraint it is; It's still pacing relative to BND Friday, Saturday, Sunday somehow, i'm not even sure how that's possible). It will fall behind by a lot today though as there just isn't much seats left."

I organized an AMA/Q&A with legendary filmmaker/screenwriter Nicolas Winding Refn. He has previously directed films/series Drive, Only God Forgives, Bronson, The Neon Demon, Pusher trilogy, Copenhagen Cowboy, Too Old To Die Young, Valhalla Rising, and more.

It's live here now in r/movies for anyone interested in asking a question:

https://www.reddit.com/r/movies/comments/1v3mkcv/i_am_nicolas_winding_refn_director_of_drive_the/

He will be back at 4:45 PM ET today to answer questions. I recommend asking in advance. Please ask there, not here. All questions are much appreciated!

His new film, Her Private Hell, premiered at Cannes in May and is out in theaters via Neon this weekend. It stars Sophie Thatcher and Charles Melton.

Thank you :)

Christopher Nolan scored his best Tuesday ever at the domestic B.O. as The Odyssey rang up $21.4M. That bests his previous Tuesday high, which was The Dark Knight ($20.8M, on July 22, 2008). The revised number from Universal ranks as the second best Tuesday YTD behind Toy Story 5‘s $23.69M, and it’s the second best Tuesday ever for Universal after Jurassic World ($24.3M, June 16, 2015).