Your job is to predict who will advance to each round in the playoffs. But to give you an incentive to make spicier picks, you will get extra points if you pick underdogs.

There are 11 predictions to make. These are listed below, along with the probability my computer model assigns to each team taking that spot. Each correct pick gets you 1 point if you picked a team which has probability more than 75%, 2 points if you pick a team with probability between 25 and 75%, and 4 points if you pick a team with probability smaller than 25%.

There is no requirement for your picks to be logically coherent. For example, you can pick both Boston and New York to make the title game, even though they're in the same region. Or, you can pick DC to beat New York in the first round but also New York to make the title game.

Post your bracket in the comments, and whoever gets the most points wins!

Winner of San Diego (17%) at Carolina (83%):
Winner of DC (22%) at New York (78%):
Winner of Salt Lake City (50%) at Seattle (50%):
Winner of Indianapolis (44%) at Madison (56%):
South champion (Carolina 50%, Austin 45%, SD 5%):
East champion (Boston 61%, NY 34%, DC 5%):
West champion (Oakland 85%, SLC 9%, Seattle 6%):
Central champion (Minnesota 87%, Madison 7%, Indy 6%):
Pick two teams to make the title game (see list of odds below):
Champion (see list of odds below):

To make the title game:
Oakland 58%, Boston 46%, Minnesota 34%, NY 24%, Carolina 18%, Austin 11%, SLC 3%, DC 2%, Seattle 2%, Madison 1%, Indy 1%, SD 1%

To win the title:
Boston 31%, Oakland 28%, NY 17%, Minny 13%, Carolina 6%, Austin 2%, DC 1%, SLC 1%, Seattle 0.3%, Madison 0.1%, Indy 0.1%, SD 0.1%