r/SipsTea 4h ago

Chugging tea Not wrong!

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20.0k Upvotes

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4

u/Synensys 3h ago

Why would they want to avoid an election that they will win with ease?

8

u/No-Discipline-5219 3h ago

They don't want Massie to run because he will split the GOP vote

2

u/Unlikely-Key-234 1h ago

Massie has been very clear he isn't interested in running.

1

u/Synensys 3h ago

Then the worst case scenario is that a Democrat holds the seat until January 3, which is functionally the same as the seat being open.

1

u/NEWSmodsareTwats 2h ago

that still doesn't make much sense because even if that did happen, whoever wins the special election will be out of office on January 3rd 2027. and whoever wins the November 2026 general election would take over at that point. whoever would win special election like this would not automatically be awarded the next term as well. they would only fill in till the end of the current term.

1

u/igen_reklam_tack 1h ago

Considering how fast the current administration moved last year after Trump's election I think you're ignoring how much could get done in that time with a noncorpse in office.

1

u/NEWSmodsareTwats 9m ago

I mean Even if the special election was filed today, it would take about 60 days for the election to happen and then there's also the few days it takes to get seated. So whoever would win and given the recessed Congress takes in Q4 they would likely only attend about 40 days of actually being in Congress. And from there it's just a single senate vote so assuming that a progressive Democrat is elected, which is very unlikely considering that senatorial seat is up for election in the 2026 election and currently the Republican candidate has an 11-point lead over the Democrat candidate, there's still little that candidate can do. Especially given senate Democrats are not exactly one seat away from having a majority or being able to pass their own legislation. Republicans do need mitches vote to help get things passed but while he's in the hospital he's also not able to actually vote in the senate.

The weekend at Bernie's game seems to be a weird one to play here at it comes with all the consequences and basically no benefits because even the worst case scenario for Republicans has no effect on this session of Congress but being caught playing hide the dead senator comes with a lot of consequences.