064
WTNT32 KNHC 221736
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bertha Intermediate Advisory Number 13A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022026
100 PM CDT Wed Jul 22 2026

...CENTER OF BERTHA APPROACHING THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA...
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO SPREAD WESTWARD WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA...

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.9N 89.1W
ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM SSW OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM E OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued east of the
Alabama/Florida border.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Alabama/Florida border to Morgan City, Louisiana
* Metropolitan New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* West of Morgan City, Louisiana, to Sargent, Texas
* Lake Maurepas

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24
to 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 12 to
36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bertha was
located near latitude 29.9 North, longitude 89.1 West. Bertha is
moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A westward
motion with an increase in forward speed is expected to resume
later today and continue through Friday. On the forecast track, the
center of Bertha will move near or along the Louisiana and upper
Texas coasts through Thursday, and then move farther inland into
Texas on Friday.

Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate
that maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next
couple of days, but Bertha could maintain tropical storm intensity
through late Thursday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center. Dauphin Island, Alabama, recently reported a
sustained wind of 36 mph (58 km/h) and a gust to 41 mph (66 km/h).

Data from the reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the minimum
central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Bertha can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header
WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue spreading across
portions of the northern Gulf Coast within the warning area today.
Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area in
Louisiana by tonight and along the upper Texas coast by Thursday or
Thursday night.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will
cause normally dry areas near the immediate coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Alabama/Florida border to Port Bolivar, TX...1-3 ft
Lake Pontchartrain...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast.
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: Bertha is expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 1
to 4 inches with isolated higher totals of 6 inches through Friday
along the central to western Gulf Coast from Northwest Florida to
southern Texas. This rainfall may produce isolated flash flooding,
especially in urban areas.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Bertha, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall
Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and
the Flash Flood Risk graphic at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero.

SURF: Swells generated by Bertha will continue spreading westward
along the northern Gulf Coast during the next few days. These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg

Bulletin

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bertha Advisory Number  13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022026
1000 AM CDT Wed Jul 22 2026

...CENTER OF BERTHA WOBBLING SOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA 
THROUGH TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.8N 88.6W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM S OF PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM NNE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Okaloosa/Walton County Line in Florida to Morgan City, Louisiana
* Metropolitan New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* West of Morgan City, Louisiana, to Sargent, Texas
* Lake Maurepas

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 to 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within the next 12 to 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland 
watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local 
National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bertha was 
located near latitude 29.8 North, longitude 88.6 West. Bertha is moving 
toward the west-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A westward  motion with 
an increase in forward speed is expected to resume later today and 
continue through Friday. On the forecast track, the  center of Bertha 
will move near or along the Louisiana and upper Texas coasts through 
Thursday, and then move farther inland into Texas on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, but Bertha 
could maintain tropical storm intensity through late Thursday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Bertha can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and 
WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will continue spreading across
portions of the northern Gulf Coast within the warning area today.
Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area in
Louisiana by tonight and along the upper Texas coast by Thursday 
or Thursday night.

STORM SURGE:  The combination of storm surge and the tide will
cause normally dry areas near the immediate coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA to MS/AL Border...2-4 ft
Port Bolivar, TX to Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA...1-3 ft
MS/AL Border to Okaloosa/Walton County Line, FL...1-3 ft
Lake Pontchartrain...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast.
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: Bertha is expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 1
to 4 inches with isolated higher totals of 6 inches through Friday
along the central to western Gulf Coast from Northwest Florida to
southern Texas. This rainfall may produce isolated flash flooding,
especially in urban areas.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Bertha, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall
Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and
the Flash Flood Risk graphic at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero.

SURF: Swells generated by Bertha will continue spreading westward
along the northern Gulf Coast during the next few days. These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ripCurrents


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg

Discussion

Tropical Storm Bertha Discussion Number  13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022026
1000 AM CDT Wed Jul 22 2026

Bertha's satellite presentation has continued to degrade this 
morning, with all of the associated deep convection having been 
pushed well to the southwest of the exposed surface center due to 
strong deep-layer shear. That said, dropsonde data from NOAA and 
Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the 
central pressure has changed very little from the previous 
advisory. The NOAA aircraft measured a peak 750-mb flight-level 
wind of 55 kt several hours ago, which equates to an initial 
intensity of 45 kt. More recent aircraft data suggest those winds 
may have decreased, but for now we'll continue to hold 45 kt in 
anticipation of additional aircraft and scatterometer data over the 
next few hours.

Bertha's center has been deviating a bit north of the forecast 
track, and the current motion estimate is now 290/5 kt. Track model 
guidance insists that Bertha should resume a westward motion today, 
but wobbles and deviations like the current one are normal behavior 
for such a highly sheared tropical cyclone. Once a westward motion 
resumes, Bertha's center is likely to straddle the coast of 
Louisiana through Thursday and then reach the upper Texas coast by 
Thursday evening or night. The NHC track forecast lies along the 
northern edge of the guidance suite, partially to account for the 
recent northward jog and partially to closely follow the typically 
reliable HCCA and GDMI guidance.

The expected weakening appears to be on the verge of starting, and 
the main question for the forecast is how quickly will Bertha lose 
intensity. Part of that equation is how much time the center will 
spend over land, while the system also continues to contend with 
strong northeasterly shear. The NHC intensity forecast maintains 
Bertha as a minimal tropical storm through 36 hours (around the 
time of a potential Texas landfall), but it's also possible that 
the cyclone could weaken to a depression or remnant low by that 
time. Like the track forecast, the intensity forecast is largely a 
blend of the latest HCCA and GDMI guidance. A remnant low forecast 
point is shown over Texas at 48 hours for continuity's sake, but 
Bertha could have dissipated by that time.


Key Messages:

1. Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue along portions
of the northern Gulf Coast from the western Florida Panhandle to
southeastern Louisiana, including the Metro New Orleans area,
through tonight. Tropical storm conditions are possible for portions
of the southwestern coast of Louisiana and upper Texas coast 
tonight through late Thursday.

2. A Coastal Flood Warning is in effect for the Mississippi and
Louisiana coastlines, where moderate coastal flooding is expected.

3. Isolated areas of flash flooding remain possible through Friday 
morning along the central to western Gulf Coast from Northwest 
Florida to southern Texas.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  22/1500Z 29.8N  88.6W   45 KT  50 MPH
 12H  23/0000Z 29.6N  90.3W   40 KT  45 MPH...INLAND
 24H  23/1200Z 29.5N  92.7W   35 KT  40 MPH...OVER WATER
 36H  24/0000Z 29.4N  95.5W   35 KT  40 MPH...INLAND
 48H  24/1200Z 29.0N  98.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  25/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Berg

Bulletin

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bertha Advisory Number  12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022026
400 AM CDT Wed Jul 22 2026

...BERTHA CONTINUES WESTWARD WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.4N 88.3W
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM WSW OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM ENE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning east of the Okaloosa/Walton County Line
has been discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Okaloosa/Walton County Line in Florida to Morgan City, Louisiana
* Metropolitan New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* West of Morgan City, Louisiana, to Cameron, Louisiana
* Lake Maurepas

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 to
48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bertha was 
located near latitude 29.4 North, longitude 88.3 West. Bertha is 
moving toward the west near 5 mph (7 km/h) and this general motion 
is expected to continue through Friday with a little acceleration. 
On the forecast track, Bertha will move near or along the northern 
Gulf Coast during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. 
Gradual weakening is forecast to continue over the next several 
days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) 
from the center. In the past hour, a wind gust of 49 mph (79 km/h) 
was reported at Orange Beach Buoy, located offshore of the Alabama 
coastline. An elevated oil platform located well offshore in the 
Mississippi Canyon recently reported a sustained wind of 45 mph (72 
km/h) with a gust up to 56 mph (90 km/h). 

The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Bertha can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header
WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will continue spreading across
portions of the northern Gulf Coast within the warning area today.
Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area in
Louisiana by tonight.

STORM SURGE:  The combination of storm surge and the tide will
cause normally dry areas near the immediate coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA to MS/AL Border...2-4 ft
Cameron, LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA...1-3 ft
MS/AL Border to Okaloosa/Walton County Line, FL...1-3 ft
Lake Pontchartrain...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast.
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: Bertha is expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 1 
to 4 inches with isolated higher totals to 6 inches through Thursday 
along the central to the western Gulf Coast from western Florida to 
southern Texas. This rainfall may produce isolated flash flooding, 
especially in urban areas.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Bertha, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall
Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and
the Flash Flood Risk graphic at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero.

SURF: Swells generated by Bertha will continue spreading westward
along the northern Gulf Coast during the next few days. These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ripCurrents


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Papin

Discussion

Tropical Storm Bertha Discussion Number  12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022026
400 AM CDT Wed Jul 22 2026

Since the previous advisory, Bertha's appearance has gone downhill, 
with the deepest convective activity separating further south from 
the low-level circulation which is now mostly exposed offshore of 
the coast of Alabama. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance mission in 
completing its last pass through Bertha found peak flight level 
winds of 47 kt, and a minimum central pressure that has risen 
slightly to 998 mb. While a dropsonde launched in the southeast side 
of the circulation did find a 500 m layer mean wind of 54 kt, a 
standard reduction from this layer still yields a slightly reduced 
intensity of 45 kt for this advisory. Given Bertha's current 
appearance, this could be generous. 

A combination of aircraft, radar, and satellite fixes indicate that 
Bertha is moving due west at 270/4 kt. The primary steering feature 
resulting in Bertha's short-term motion is a mid-level ridge that 
has been sliding slowly eastward from the southern Plains to become 
positioned north of the tropical storm. This evolution should result 
in Bertha maintaining a westward heading over the next 24-36 h, 
though continued sheared bursts of deep convection forming south of 
the center may still act to tug it south of this steering motion. 
One thing worth keeping an eye on is the possibility a new center 
may try to reform under these convective bursts in the 24-36 h 
time-frame like what is depicted in some of the hurricane-regional 
models, though this is not reflected in the NHC track forecast at 
this time. The latest track forecast is nearly on top of the 
previous, but just a little faster, roughly in between the latest 
Google DeepMind (GDMI) and HFIP Corrected Consensus (HCCA) 
solutions. 

Bertha's appearance, the presence of 25-30 kt of northeasterly 
vertical wind shear, and land interaction are likely to result in 
slow weakening over the next 24 h or so. After that point, Bertha's 
future likely depends on if the circulation remains along the Gulf 
coast, or if it attempts to reform further south under the 
convective bursts in the northwestern portion of the Gulf. In the 
former scenario, Bertha's circulation could open up into a trough 
like in the 00z ECMWF and HWRF solutions. In the latter case, a new 
center could reform further south and attempt to reorganize like in 
the HAFS and GFS solutions. For what it's worth, the Google DeepMind 
ensemble seems to be roughly split between these two possibilities. 
For now, the NHC intensity forecast does not stray far from the 
previous one, showing slow weakening before Bertha moves fully 
inland over Texas in 48 h, becoming post-tropical and dissipating 
shortly thereafter. This intensity forecast is roughly in the middle 
of the guidance envelope and closest to the GDMI solution. 


Key Messages:

1. Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue along portions 
of the northern Gulf Coast from the western Florida Panhandle to 
southeastern Louisiana, including the Metro New Orleans area, 
through tonight. Tropical storm conditions are possible for portions 
of the southwestern coast of Louisiana tonight into Thursday.

2. A Coastal Flood Warning is in effect for the Mississippi and
Louisiana coastlines, where moderate coastal flooding is expected.

3. Interests elsewhere in extreme western Louisiana and along the
Upper Texas Coast should monitor the progress of this system, as
additional watches or warnings could be required for portions of
that area later today. 

4. Isolated areas of flash flooding remain possible through early 
Friday along the central to the western Gulf Coast from western 
Florida to southern Texas.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  22/0900Z 29.4N  88.3W   45 KT  50 MPH
 12H  22/1800Z 29.4N  89.4W   40 KT  45 MPH...ON THE COAST
 24H  23/0600Z 29.3N  91.4W   35 KT  40 MPH...ON THE COAST
 36H  23/1800Z 29.3N  93.9W   35 KT  40 MPH...OVER WATER
 48H  24/0600Z 29.5N  96.3W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 60H  24/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Papin

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL

TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

1100 AM PDT Wed Jul 22 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane

Fausto, located well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja

California Peninsula.

1. Eastern and Central East Pacific:

A tropical wave located a few hundred miles off the coast of Central

America continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers

and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is expected,

and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend while

it moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining

well offshore of Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

1. Well Southwest of Hawaii:

A trough of low pressure located well southwest of the Hawaiian

Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual

development of this system, and a tropical depression could form

over the weekend or early next week while the system moves slowly

westward to west-northwestward. The system is forecast to move into

the western Pacific basin on Sunday.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Products issued by the U.S. Joint Typhoon Warning Center can be

found at: www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html

Official tropical cyclone forecast information issued by the Japan

Meteorological Agency for the western Pacific basin can be found at:

www.jma.go.jp/jma/jma-eng/jma-center/rsmc-hp-pub-eg/RSMC_HP.htm

Forecaster Cangialosi

453

WTNT62 KNHC 221901

TCUAT2

Tropical Storm Bertha Tropical Cyclone Update

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022026

200 PM CDT Wed Jul 22 2026

...TROPICAL STORM BERTHA MAKES LANDFALL IN ST. BERNARD PARISH,

LOUISIANA...

Satellite images indicate that the center of Tropical Storm Bertha

has made landfall near the Biloxi Wildlife Management Area in St.

Bernard Parish, Louisiana. The maximum sustained winds are estimated

to be 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.

SUMMARY OF 200 PM CDT...1900 UTC...INFORMATION

---------------------------------------------------

LOCATION...29.9N 89.4W

ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM SW OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI

ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM E OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

$$

Forecaster Reinhart/Berg

114
WTNT32 KNHC 220535
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bertha Intermediate Advisory Number 11A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022026
100 AM CDT Wed Jul 22 2026

...BERTHA MOVING WESTWARD WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.3N 87.9W
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM WSW OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM E OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bay/Gulf County Line in Florida to Morgan City, Louisiana
* Metropolitan New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* West of Morgan City, Louisiana, to Cameron, Louisiana
* Lake Maurepas

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 to
48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bertha was
located by Air Force Reserve aircraft near latitude 29.3 North,
longitude 87.9 West. Bertha is moving toward the west near 6 mph
(9 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through
Friday. On the forecast track, Bertha will move near or along the
northern Gulf Coast during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with
higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast to continue over the
next several days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center. In the past hour, a wind gust of 40 mph (64 km/h)
was reported at Panama City Beach, Florida.

The minimum central pressure estimated by Air Force Reserve
reconnaissance aircraft is 998 mb (29.47 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Bertha can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header
WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue spreading across
portions of the northern Gulf Coast within the warning area
through the day. Tropical storm conditions are possible within
the watch area in Louisiana by tonight.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will
cause normally dry areas near the immediate coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA to MS/AL Border...2-4 ft
Cameron, LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA...1-3 ft
MS/AL Border to Aucilla River, FL...1-3 ft
Lake Pontchartrain...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast.
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: Bertha is expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 1
to 4 inches with isolated higher totals to 6 inches through Thursday
along the central Gulf Coast from western Florida through southern
Louisiana. This rainfall may produce isolated flash flooding,
especially in urban areas.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Bertha, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall
Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and
the Flash Flood Risk graphic at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero.

SURF: Swells generated by Bertha will continue spreading westward
along the northern Gulf Coast during the next few days. These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Papin

000
WTNT32 KNHC 220241
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bertha Advisory Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022026
1000 PM CDT Tue Jul 21 2026

...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SPREADING
WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.4N 87.7W
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM WSW OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM ENE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bay/Gulf County Line in Florida to Morgan City, Louisiana
* Metropolitan New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* West of Morgan City, Louisiana, to Cameron, Louisiana
* Lake Maurepas

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 to
48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bertha was
located near latitude 29.4 North, longitude 87.7 West. Bertha is
moving toward the west near 6 mph (9 km/h), and a generally
westward motion is expected Wednesday through Friday. On the
forecast track, Bertha will move near or along the northern Gulf
Coast during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
A gradual weakening trend is forecast to begin on Wednesday

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center. In the past hour, a wind gust of 41 mph (66 km/h)
was reported in Petit Bois Island, Mississippi.

The minimum central pressure estimated from NOAA Hurricane Hunter
observations is 995 mb (29.39 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Bertha can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header
WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue spreading across
portions of the northern Gulf Coast within the warning area tonight
through Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within
the watch area in Louisiana by Wednesday night.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will
cause normally dry areas near the immediate coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA to MS/AL Border...2-4 ft
Cameron, LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA...1-3 ft
MS/AL Border to Aucilla River, FL...1-3 ft
Lake Pontchartrain...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast.
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: Bertha is expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 1
to 4 inches with isolated higher totals to 6 inches through Thursday
along the central Gulf Coast from western Florida through southern
Louisiana. This rainfall may produce isolated flash flooding,
especially in urban areas.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Bertha, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall
Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and
the Flash Flood Risk graphic at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero.

SURF: Swells generated by Bertha will continue spreading westward
along the northern Gulf Coast during the next few days. These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

000
WTNT32 KNHC 212348
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bertha Intermediate Advisory Number 10A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022026
700 PM CDT Tue Jul 21 2026

...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OCCURRING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST...

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.3N 87.4W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM WSW OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM SSE OF MOBILE ALABAMA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bay/Gulf County Line in Florida to Morgan City, Louisiana
* Metropolitan New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* West of Morgan City, Louisiana, to Cameron, Louisiana
* Lake Maurepas

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case in the next 24 to 48
hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bertha was
located near latitude 29.3 North, longitude 87.4 West. Bertha is
moving toward the west near 6 mph (9 km/h) and a west-northwestward
or westward motion is expected Wednesday through Friday. On
the forecast track, Bertha will move near or along the northern Gulf
Coast during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is expected tonight, and gradual
weakening is forecast Wednesday through Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center. A wind gust to 43 mph (69 km/h) was recently
reported at Pensacola Beach, Florida.

The minimum central pressure reported by Air Force Reserve and NOAA
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 997 mb (29.44 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Bertha can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header
WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue spreading across
portions of the northern Gulf Coast within the warning area tonight
through Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within
the watch area in Louisiana by Wednesday night.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will
cause normally dry areas near the immediate coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA to MS/AL Border...2-4 ft
Cameron, LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA...1-3 ft
MS/AL Border to Aucilla River, FL...1-3 ft
Lake Pontchartrain...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast.
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: Bertha is expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 2
to 4 inches with isolated higher totals around 6 inches through
Thursday along the central Gulf Coast from western Florida into
southern Louisiana. This rainfall may produce isolated flash
flooding, especially in urban areas.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Bertha, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall
Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and
the Flash Flood Risk graphic at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero.

SURF: Swells generated by Bertha will continue spreading westward
along the northern Gulf Coast during the next few days. These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

000
WTNT32 KNHC 211745
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bertha Intermediate Advisory Number 9A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022026
100 PM CDT Tue Jul 21 2026

...BERTHA BEGINNING TO TURN WESTWARD...
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SPREADING OVER PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.3N 86.8W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SW OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SE OF MOBILE ALABAMA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bay/Gulf County Line in Florida to the Terrebonne/Lafourche Parish
Line in Louisiana

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* West of the Terrebonne/Lafourche Parish Line to the
Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line in Louisiana
* Metropolitan New Orleans, Lake Pontchartrain, and Lake Maurepas

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case in the next 24 to 48
hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bertha was
located near latitude 29.3 North, longitude 86.8 West. Bertha is
moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). A turn toward the
west-northwest and west is expected later today, with a continued
westward motion forecast Wednesday through Friday. On the forecast
track, Bertha will move near or along the northern Gulf Coast during
the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is expected today, and gradual weakening
is forecast Wednesday through Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center. A National Ocean Service station in Panama City
Beach, Florida, recently reported sustained winds of 42 mph (68
km/h) and a gust of 49 mph (79 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure based on aircraft data is
995 mb (29.39 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Bertha can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header
WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue spreading across
portions of the warning area later today through Wednesday. Tropical
storm conditions are possible within the watch area in Louisiana by
late Wednesday.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will
cause normally dry areas near the immediate coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA to MS/AL Border...2-4 ft
Indian Pass, FL to Aucilla River, FL...1-3 ft
MS/AL Border to AL/FL Border...1-3 ft
Lake Pontchartrain...1-3 ft
Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River,
LA...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast.
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: Bertha is expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 2
to 4 inches with isolated higher totals around 6 inches through
Thursday along the central Gulf Coast from western Florida into
southern Louisiana. This rainfall may produce isolated flash
flooding, especially in urban areas.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Bertha, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall
Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and
the Flash Flood Risk graphic at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero.

SURF: Swells generated by Bertha will continue spreading westward
along the northern Gulf Coast during the next few days. These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

640

WTNT32 KNHC 212053

TCPAT2

BULLETIN

Tropical Storm Bertha Advisory Number 10

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022026

400 PM CDT Tue Jul 21 2026

...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SPREADING WESTWARD ALONG COASTAL

PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE

LOUISIANA COAST...

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...29.4N 87.2W

ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM WSW OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA

ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM SSE OF MOBILE ALABAMA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning has been extended westward to Morgan

City, Louisiana.

The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm

Warning for Metropolitan New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain.

The Tropical Storm Watch has been extended westward to Cameron,

Louisiana.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...

* Bay/Gulf County Line in Florida to Morgan City, Louisiana

* Metropolitan New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...

* West of Morgan City, Louisiana, to Cameron, Louisiana

* Lake Maurepas

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are

expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are

possible within the watch area, in this case in the next 24 to 48

hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible

inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your

local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

----------------------

At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bertha was

located near latitude 29.4 North, longitude 87.2 West. Bertha is

moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A turn toward the

west-northwest and west is expected tonight, with a continued

westward motion forecast Wednesday through Friday. On the forecast

track, Bertha will move near or along the northern Gulf Coast during

the next couple of days or so.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.

Little change in strength is expected tonight, and gradual weakening

is forecast Wednesday through Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)

from the center. A National Ocean Service station in Panama City

Beach, Florida, reported sustained winds of 45 mph (72 km/h) and a

gust of 57 mph (92 km/h) during the past few hours.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

----------------------

Key messages for Tropical Storm Bertha can be found in the Tropical

Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header

WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue spreading across

portions of the northern Gulf Coast within the warning area tonight

through Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within

the watch area in Louisiana by Wednesday night.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will

cause normally dry areas near the immediate coast to be flooded by

rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could

reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated

areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA to MS/AL Border...2-4 ft

Cameron, LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA...1-3 ft

MS/AL Border to Aucilla River, FL...1-3 ft

Lake Pontchartrain...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast.

Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge

and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For

information specific to your area, please see products issued by

your local National Weather Service forecast office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,

please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,

available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: Bertha is expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 2

to 4 inches with isolated higher totals around 6 inches through

Thursday along the central Gulf Coast from western Florida into

southern Louisiana. This rainfall may produce isolated flash

flooding, especially in urban areas.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with

Bertha, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall

Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and

the Flash Flood Risk graphic at

hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero.

SURF: Swells generated by Bertha will continue spreading westward

along the northern Gulf Coast during the next few days. These swells

are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current

conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found

at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY

-------------

Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.

Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$

Forecaster Reinhart

324

WTNT32 KNHC 211141

TCPAT2

BULLETIN

Tropical Storm Bertha Intermediate Advisory Number 8A

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022026

700 AM CDT Tue Jul 21 2026

...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING BERTHA...

...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS

OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...28.8N 86.2W

ABOUT 100 MI...165 KM SSW OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA

ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM SE OF MOBILE ALABAMA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...

* Alabama/Florida border to the Jefferson/Plaquemines Parish border

in Louisiana

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...

* Alabama/Florida Border to the Mouth of the Mississippi River

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...

* Bay/Gulf County line in Florida westward to the Florida/Alabama

border

* West of the Jefferson/Plaquemines Parish border to Morgan City,

Louisiana

* Metropolitan New Orleans, Lake Pontchartrain, and Lake Maurepas

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are

expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-

threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the

coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.

For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather

Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at

hurricanes.gov.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are

possible within the watch area, in this case in the next 24 to 48

hours.

Additional watches or warnings may be required later today.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible

inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your

local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

----------------------

At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bertha was

located near latitude 28.8 North, longitude 86.2 West. Bertha is

moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). A slow

northwestward to west-northwestward motion is expected today

followed by a turn toward the west by the middle part of this week.

On the forecast track, Bertha will move near or along the northern

Gulf Coast during the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.

Some slight strengthening is possible later today, followed by

gradual weakening through the middle of this week.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)

from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on NOAA Hurricane

Hunter aircraft data is 997 mb (29.44 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

----------------------

Key messages for Tropical Storm Bertha can be found in the Tropical

Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header

WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning

area along the northern Gulf coast by late today into Wednesday.

Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in the

Florida Panhandle later today. Tropical storm conditions are

possible within the watch area in Louisiana by late tonight into

Wednesday.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will

cause normally dry areas near the immediate coast to be flooded by

rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could

reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated

areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA to AL/FL Border...2-4 ft

Indian Pass, FL to Chassahowitzka, FL...1-3 ft

Morgan City, LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA...1-3 ft

Lake Pontchartrain...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast.

Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge

and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For

information specific to your area, please see products issued by

your local National Weather Service forecast office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,

please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,

available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: Bertha is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 2 to 4

inches with isolated higher totals around 6 inches through Thursday

along the Gulf Coast and adjacent inland locations from western

Florida into southern Louisiana, including southern portions of

Alabama and Mississippi. This rainfall may produce areas of flash

flooding, especially in urban areas.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with

Bertha, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall

Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and

the Flash Flood Risk graphic at

hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero.

SURF: Swells generated by Bertha are affecting portions of Florida

and will spread westward along the northern Gulf Coast during the

week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip

current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather

office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found

at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY

-------------

Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$

Forecaster Reinhart

000
WTNT32 KNHC 211454
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bertha Advisory Number   9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022026
1000 AM CDT Tue Jul 21 2026

...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND BERTHA HAS STRENGTHENED...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS
OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.3N 86.3W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM SSW OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM SE OF MOBILE ALABAMA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm
Warning from the Florida/Alabama border eastward to the Bay/Gulf
County Line.

The Tropical Storm Warning has been extended westward to the
Terrebonne/Lafourche Parish Line.

The Tropical Storm Watch has been extended westward from Morgan
City, Louisiana, to the Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line.

The Storm Surge Watch has been discontinued along the northern Gulf 
Coast. A Coastal Flood Warning has been issued by the National 
Weather Service for portions of the southeastern Louisiana and 
Mississippi coastline.


SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bay/Gulf County Line in Florida to the Terrebonne/Lafourche Parish
Line in Louisiana

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* West of the Terrebonne/Lafourche Parish Line to the
Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line
* Metropolitan New Orleans, Lake Pontchartrain, and Lake Maurepas

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case in the next 24 to 48
hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including other 
coastal and inland watches and warnings, please monitor products 
issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bertha was 
located near latitude 29.3 North, longitude 86.3 West. Bertha is 
moving toward the north-northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h) but is 
expected to turn toward the west-northwest and west later today and 
tonight. Then, a continued westward motion is forecast through the 
middle of the week. On the forecast track, Bertha will move near or 
along the northern Gulf Coast during the next several days.

Data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters indicate that maximum 
sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher 
gusts. Little change in strength is expected today, followed by 
gradual weakening through the middle of this week.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center. NOAA buoy 42039 south-southeast of Pensacola 
recently reported sustained winds of 49 mph (79 km/h) and a gust of 
54 mph (86 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure based on aircraft data is 
995 mb (29.39 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Bertha can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header
WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning
area along the northern Gulf coast by late today into Wednesday.
Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area in
Louisiana by Wednesday.

STORM SURGE:  The combination of storm surge and the tide will
cause normally dry areas near the immediate coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA to MS/AL Border...2-4 ft
Indian Pass, FL to Aucilla River, FL...1-3 ft
MS/AL Border to AL/FL Border...1-3 ft
Lake Pontchartrain...1-3 ft
Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River,
LA...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast.
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: Bertha is expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 2
to 4 inches with isolated higher totals around 6 inches through
Thursday along the central Gulf Coast from western Florida into
southern Louisiana. This rainfall may produce isolated flash
flooding, especially in urban areas.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Bertha, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall
Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and
the Flash Flood Risk graphic at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero.

SURF: Swells generated by Bertha are affecting portions of Florida
and will spread westward along the northern Gulf Coast during the
week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ripCurrents


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

--------------------------

Tropical Storm Bertha Discussion Number   9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022026
1000 AM CDT Tue Jul 21 2026

Bertha has become slightly better organized this morning. While the 
low-level center was fully exposed overnight, new deep convection 
has developed this morning and the center has become at least 
partially tucked underneath the cold overcast. The Air Force 
Hurricane Hunters have been investigating the storm, and they 
reported peak 850-mb flight-level winds of 62 kt within the 
convection to the southeast of the center, along with layer-averaged 
dropsonde winds that support raising the initial intensity to 50 kt. 
The central pressure has fallen slightly to 995 mb.

Bertha has deviated north of the forecast track during the past 
several hours, and the initial motion is north-northwestward (345/3 
kt). The near-term track forecast has been adjusted northward to 
account for this development. While Bertha is currently in fairly 
weak steering currents, a mid-level ridge centered near the Rockies 
is expected to move southeastward during the next couple of days. 
This should cause Bertha to turn more west-northwestward and then 
westward while it moves near or along the northern Gulf Coast 
through midweek. While the track models are overall in good 
agreement on this scenario, there are differences in how much land 
interaction with southeastern Louisiana will occur, and whether a 
new center may redevelop off the coast. Little change was made to 
the NHC track forecast beyond 24 h, and once again this forecast 
assumes Bertha is able to maintain a cohesive circulation as it 
passes near or over the northern Gulf Coast.

Bertha remains an asymmetric tropical storm, with most of the 
rainfall and the strongest winds occurring to the south and east of 
the center. Strong northeasterly vertical wind shear over Bertha is 
forecast to persist today and tonight, which should make it 
difficult for Bertha to strengthen much more. Convection is expected 
to continue pulsing to the south of Bertha's center during this 
time, and the NHC forecast overall shows gradual weakening over the 
next few days. The extent of this weakening will depend on how much 
land interaction occurs during the next couple of days, and it 
remains possible that Bertha could degenerate into a trough even 
sooner than forecast due to a disrupted structure within hostile 
environmental conditions.

Some notable watch/warning changes were made with this advisory 
package. The Tropical Storm Warning was extended eastward across 
the Florida Panhandle and westward to the Terrebonne/Lafourche 
Parish Line in Louisiana. In addition, the Storm Surge Watch has 
been replaced with a Coastal Flood Warning issued by the local 
forecast office. Minor to moderate coastal flooding is still 
expected to occur between the Mississippi/Alabama Border and the 
Mouth of the Mississippi River, with peak values up to 4 ft above 
ground level.


Key Messages:

1. Bertha is expected to bring tropical storm conditions to portions 
of the Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to 
southeastern Louisiana later today and Wednesday, where a Tropical 
Storm Warning is in effect. Tropical storm conditions are possible 
for Metro New Orleans and the southern Gulf Coast of Louisiana, 
where a Tropical Storm Watch is in effect.

2. A Coastal Flood Warning is in effect for the Mississippi and 
Louisiana coastlines, where moderate coastal flooding is expected. 

3. Interests elsewhere in Louisiana and Texas should monitor the 
progress of this system, as additional watches or warnings could be 
required for portions of that area.

4. Isolated areas of flash flooding will be possible through Friday 
along the Gulf Coast from western Florida into southern Louisiana 
and the Upper Texas coast.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  21/1500Z 29.3N  86.3W   50 KT  60 MPH
 12H  22/0000Z 29.4N  87.0W   50 KT  60 MPH
 24H  22/1200Z 29.5N  88.0W   45 KT  50 MPH
 36H  23/0000Z 29.4N  89.5W   40 KT  45 MPH...NEAR THE COAST
 48H  23/1200Z 29.3N  91.3W   35 KT  40 MPH...NEAR THE COAST
 60H  24/0000Z 29.4N  93.1W   30 KT  35 MPH...OVER WATER
 72H  24/1200Z 29.9N  94.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 96H  25/1200Z 31.0N  97.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
120H  26/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

000

WTPZ31 KNHC 212033

TCPEP1

BULLETIN

Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 12

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026

1100 AM HST Tue Jul 21 2026

...FAUSTO TURNS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WHILE CHANGING LITTLE IN

STRENGTH...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION

-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...16.6N 119.9W

ABOUT 780 MI...1260 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

----------------------

At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fausto was

located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 119.9 West. Fausto is

now moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A

general west-northwestward to westward motion is expected for the

next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher

gusts. Little change in strength is expected today. After that,

gradual strengthening is expected tonight through Thursday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the

center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles

(260 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

----------------------

SURF: Swells generated by Fausto are expected to reach the west

coast of the Baja California Peninsula tonight, and persist for a

couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening

surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your

local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY

-------------

Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST.

$$

Forecaster Beven

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL

TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

1100 AM PDT Tue Jul 21 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane

Fausto, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip

of Baja California.

1. Eastern and Central East Pacific:

A broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop well south of

Mexico over the next couple of days. Environmental conditions

appear conducive for development of the system thereafter, and a

tropical depression is likely to form while it moves westward to

west-northwestward across the eastern and central portions of the

eastern Pacific.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

1. Southwest of Hawaii:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure

located well southwest of the Hawaiian Islands remain disorganized.

Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual

development of this system as it moves generally westward during the

next several days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Beven

000
WTNT32 KNHC 210534
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bertha Intermediate Advisory Number 7A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022026
100 AM CDT Tue Jul 21 2026

...AIRCRAFT AND SATELLITE WIND DATA INDICATE THAT BERTHA IS
STRONGER...

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.4N 86.1W
ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM S OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM SE OF MOBILE ALABAMA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Alabama/Florida border to the Jefferson/Plaquemines Parish border
in Louisiana

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Alabama/Florida Border to the Mouth of the Mississippi River

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Bay/Gulf County line in Florida westward to the Florida/Alabama
border
* West of the Jefferson/Plaquemines Parish border to Morgan City,
Louisiana
* Metropolitan New Orleans, Lake Pontchartrain, and Lake Maurepas

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case in the next 24 to 48
hours.

Additional watches or warnings may be required later today.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bertha was
located by Air Force reconnaissance aircraft near latitude 28.4
North, longitude 86.1 West. Bertha is moving toward the northwest
near 2 mph (4 km/h). A slow northwestward to west-northwestward
motion is expected today followed by a turn westward by the
middle part of this week. On the forecast track, Bertha will move
near or along the northern Gulf coast during the next several days.

Aircraft and satellite-wind data indicate that maximum sustained
winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some additional intensification is possible over the next day or
so.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The minimum central pressure estimated from Air Force reserve
reconnaissance aircraft observations is 998 mb (29.47 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Bertha can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header
WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning
area along the northern Gulf coast by late today into Wednesday.
Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in the
Florida Panhandle later today. Tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area in Louisiana by late tonight into
Wednesday.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will
cause normally dry areas near the immediate coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA to AL/FL Border...2-4 ft
Indian Pass, FL to Chassahowitzka, FL...1-3 ft
Morgan City, LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA...1-3 ft
Lake Pontchartrain...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast.
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge
inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak
Storm Surge Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: Bertha is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 2 to 4
inches with isolated higher totals around 8 inches through Thursday
along the Gulf Coast and adjacent inland locations from western
Florida into southern Louisiana, including southern portions of
Alabama and Mississippi. This rainfall may produce areas of flash
flooding, especially in urban areas.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Bertha, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall
Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and
the Flash Flood Risk graphic at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero.

SURF: Swells generated by Bertha are affecting portions of the
Gulf coast of Florida and are likely to spread westward during
the week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf
and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Papin

000
WTPZ31 KNHC 210243
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
800 PM PDT Mon Jul 20 2026

...FAUSTO BECOMES A HURRICANE...

SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.7N 117.3W
ABOUT 745 MI...1200 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fausto was located
near latitude 14.7 North, longitude 117.3 West. Fausto is moving
toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A slower northwestward
motion, followed by a turn toward the west-northwest by Wednesday
is expected.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h)
with higher gusts. Steady to rapid strengthening is expected during
the next couple of days, with Fausto forecast to near major
hurricane intensity by Wednesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles
(315 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Fausto are expected to reach the west
coast of the Baja California Peninsula on Wednesday, and persist for
a couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)

As of 00:00 UTC Jul 21, 2026:

Aircraft Position: 28.02°N 85.57°W

Bearing: 135° at 160 kt

Altitude: 728 gpm

Peak 10-second Wind: 29 kt at 222°

Extrapolated Sea-level Pressure: 1005.8 mb

000
WTNT32 KNHC 202351
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bertha Intermediate Advisory Number 6A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022026
700 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 2026

...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS STRENGTHENED
INTO TROPICAL STORM BERTHA...

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.6N 86.0W
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM S OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
ABOUT 190 MI...310 KM SE OF MOBILE ALABAMA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Alabama/Florida Border to the Mouth of the Mississippi River

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Ochlockonee River Florida westward to the Jefferson/Plaquemines
Parish border in Louisiana.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case in the next 24 to 48
hours.

Additional watches or warnings may be required tonight or on
Tuesday.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bertha was
located near latitude 28.6 North, longitude 86.0 West. Bertha has
been drifting erratically near 3 mph (6 km/h), but a northwestward
motion is expected tonight and Tuesday morning, followed by a
west-northwestward or westward motion. On the forecast track,
Bertha will move near or along the northern Gulf coast during the
next several days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h)
with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible
during the next day or so.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The minimum central pressure reported by a NOAA Hurricane Hunter
aircraft is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Bertha can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header
WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area in the Florida Panhandle by late tonight into Tuesday. Tropical
storm conditions are possible within the remainder of the watch
area by late Tuesday night into Wednesday.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will
cause normally dry areas near the immediate coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA to AL/FL Border...2-4 ft
Indian Pass, FL to Chassahowitzka, FL...1-3 ft
Morgan City, LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA...1-3 ft
Lake Pontchartrain...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast.
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge
inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak
Storm Surge Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: Bertha is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 2 to 4
inches with isolated higher totals around 8 inches through Friday
along the Gulf Coast and adjacent inland locations from western
Florida to the Middle Texas Coast, including southern portions of
Alabama, Mississippi, and Louisiana. This rainfall may produce areas
of flash flooding, especially in urban areas.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Bertha, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall
Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and
the Flash Flood Risk graphic at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero.

TORNADOES: An isolated tornado or two is possible over the Florida
Big Bend region this evening.

SURF: Swells generated by Bertha are affecting portions of the
Gulf coast of Florida and are likely to spread westward during
the week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf
and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

000
WTNT32 KNHC 201730
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Two Intermediate Advisory Number 5A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022026
100 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 2026

...DEPRESSION DRIFTING ERRATICALLY NORTHWESTWARD...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT...

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.6N 85.6W
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM S OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM SE OF MOBILE ALABAMA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Alabama/Florida Border to the Mouth of the Mississippi River

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Ochlockonee River Florida westward to the Jefferson/Plaquemines
Parish border in Louisiana.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case in the next 24 to 48
hours.

Additional watches or warnings may be required later today or
Tuesday.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Two was
located near latitude 28.6 North, longitude 85.6 West. The
depression is moving erratically toward the northwest near 3 mph
(6 km/h). A slow northwestward motion is expected through tonight,
followed by a turn toward the west-northwest or west. On the
forecast track, the depression will move near or along the northern
Gulf coast during the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected for the next day or two,
and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm later
today or tonight.

The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force
Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Depression Two can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO
header WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area in the Florida Panhandle by late tonight into Tuesday. Tropical
storm conditions are possible within the remainder of the watch
area by late Tuesday night into Wednesday.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will
cause normally dry areas near the immediate coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA to AL/FL Border...2-4 ft
Indian Pass, FL to Chassahowitzka, FL...1-3 ft
Morgan City, LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA...1-3 ft
Lake Pontchartrain...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast.
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge
inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak
Storm Surge Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: The tropical depression is expected to produce rainfall
amounts of 2 to 4 inches with isolated higher totals around 8 inches
through Friday along the Gulf Coast and adjacent inland locations
from western Florida to the Middle Texas Coast, including southern
portions of Alabama, Mississippi, and Louisiana. This rainfall may
produce areas of flash flooding, especially in urban areas.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Tropical Depression Two, please see the National Weather Service
Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero.

TORNADOES: An isolated tornado or two are possible over the Florida
Big Bend region today.

SURF: Swells generated by the depression are affecting portions of
the Gulf coast of Florida and are likely to spread westward during
the week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf
and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven

166
WTNT32 KNHC 202048
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Two Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022026
400 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 2026

...DEPRESSION CONTINUES DRIFTING ERRATICALLY NORTHWESTWARD...
...AIR FORCE RESERVE AND NOAA AIRCRAFT TO INVESTIGATE IT THIS
EVENING...

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.7N 85.8W
ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM S OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SE OF MOBILE ALABAMA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Alabama/Florida Border to the Mouth of the Mississippi River

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Ochlockonee River Florida westward to the Jefferson/Plaquemines
Parish border in Louisiana.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case in the next 24 to 48
hours.

Additional watches or warnings may be required tonight or on
Tuesday.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Two was
located near latitude 28.7 North, longitude 85.8 West. The
depression is moving erratically toward the northwest near 3 mph
(6 km/h). A slow northwestward motion is expected through tonight
and Tuesday morning, followed by a turn toward the west-northwest
or west. On the forecast track, the depression will move near or
along the northern Gulf coast during the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is expected for the next day or two, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm later this
afternoon or tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Depression Two can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO
header WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area in the Florida Panhandle by late tonight into Tuesday. Tropical
storm conditions are possible within the remainder of the watch
area by late Tuesday night into Wednesday.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will
cause normally dry areas near the immediate coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA to AL/FL Border...2-4 ft
Indian Pass, FL to Chassahowitzka, FL...1-3 ft
Morgan City, LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA...1-3 ft
Lake Pontchartrain...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast.
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge
inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak
Storm Surge Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: The tropical depression is expected to produce rainfall
amounts of 2 to 4 inches with isolated higher totals around 8 inches
through Friday along the Gulf Coast and adjacent inland locations
from western Florida to the Middle Texas Coast, including southern
portions of Alabama, Mississippi, and Louisiana. This rainfall may
produce areas of flash flooding, especially in urban areas.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Tropical Depression Two, please see the National Weather Service
Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero.

TORNADOES: An isolated tornado or two are possible over the Florida
Big Bend region this afternoon and evening.

SURF: Swells generated by the depression are affecting portions of
the Gulf coast of Florida and are likely to spread westward during
the week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf
and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven