A while back, I posted a hypothetical about Germanicus (son of the subject of this post) and what things would be like if Augustus had passed over Tiberius entirely, making Germanicus his primary heir.
This question is generally a popular one, so I thought I’d come up with a far less commonly raised hypothetical.
Nero Claudius Drusus, often referred to as “Drusus the Elder”, was born in 38 BC, born quickly after his mother, Livia, already mother to the 4 year old Tiberius, was compelled to divorce her husband, Tiberius Claudius Nero, and marry Octavian.
As stepson to Octavian and son to his wife, Livia, Drusus received an education very similar to that of his older brother Tiberius, educated in the arts of rhetoric, politics, warfare, and most importantly, succession, should Octavian’s desired heirs unexpectedly die or be indisposed.
However, Drusus would never even come close to achieving the height of what Octavian had trained him for, as Drusus, at the age of just 29 in 9 BC, tragically fell off his horse and broke his leg, getting gangrene and dying 30 days after the accident, only living long enough for a surely bereaved Tiberius (who loved Drusus by all accounts) to visit him in his final days. Augustus was clearly deeply affected, as he gave Drusus a state funeral, a eulogy with honors, and burial in the mausoleum of Augustus. Thus, the hand of fate was twisted in such a way to prevent what could have been a great princeps from ever taking power. Drusus’ legacy was quite a remarkable one, however, as his grandson, Caligula, his son, Claudius, and his great-grandson, Nero, would all become princeps long after his death at the hands of the fates.
Regarding Drusus’ military achievements, disposition, reputation with the people, and quite importantly, his relationship with Augustus, Suetonius, in his Lives of the Caesars, said:
2 This Drusus, while holding the offices of quaestor and praetor, was in charge of the war in Raetia and later of that in Germany. He was the first of Roman generals to sail the northern Ocean, and beyond the Rhine with prodigious labour he constructed the huge canals which to this very day are called by his name.3 Even after he had defeated the enemy in many battles and driven them far into the wilds of the interior, he did not cease his pursuit until the apparition of a barbarian woman of greater than
human size, speaking in the Latin tongue, forbade him to push his victory further. 3 For these exploits he received the honour of an ovation 4 with the triumphal regalia; and immediately after his praetorship he became consul and resumed his campaign, but died in his summer camp, which for that reason was given the name of "Accursed." The body was carried by the leading men of the free towns and colonies to Rome, 5 where it was met and received by the decuries of scribes, 6 and buried in the campus Martius. But the army reared a monument in his honour, about which the soldiers should make a ceremonial run 7 each year thereafter on a stated day, which the cities of Gaul were to observe with prayers and sacrifices. The senate, in addition to many other honours, voted him a marble arch adorned with trophies on the Appian Way, and the surname Germanicus for himself and his descendants. 4 It is the general belief that he was as eager for glory as he was democratic 8 by nature; for in addition to victories over the enemy he greatly desired to win the "noble trophies," 9 often pursuing the leaders of the Germans all over the field at great personal risk; and he made no secret of his intention of restoring the old-time form of government, whenever he should have the power. 5 ºIt is because of this, I think, that some have made bold to write that he was an object of suspicion to Augustus; that the emperor recalled him from his province, and when he did not obey at once, took him off by poison. This
I have mentioned, rather not to pass it by, than that I think it true or even probable; for as a matter of fact Augustus loved him so dearly while he lived that he always named him joint-heir along with his sons, as he once declared in the senate; and when he was dead, he eulogized him warmly before the people, praying the gods to make his Caesars 10 like Drusus, and to grant him, when his time came, as glorious a death as they had given that hero. And not content with carving a laudatory inscription on his tomb in verses of his own composition, Augustus also wrote a memoir of his life in prose* *
So, this final part is of great interest to me. While Augustus was said to have respected Tiberius’ military experience and skill, along with his abilities in public administration, it remains apparent that Augustus didn’t really like Tiberius that much as a stepson, at least not in the same way as his grandchildren or Marcellus.
Drusus is different though. He seemed to have a much less gloomy and cynical personality than his older brother, if Suetonius’ account is to be believed. Augustus seemed to genuinely love him, or at the very least grieve his death as a personal loss.
Tacitus only seems to reinforce these sentiments from a quick glance at his Annales.
As such, while it is perhaps improper to make such hasty conclusions, I’d imagine that, had Drusus not suffered such an inglorious fate, that Augustus would have left Tiberius to sulk in Rhodes, choosing instead to elevate his younger brother to become co-imperator, and eventually his successor, with Germanicus succeeding him.
Perhaps the Julio-Claudian Dynasty would have lasted longer if this alternate fate came to pass. I’m interested in other perspectives.